Philippines Signals Potential Involvement if Taiwan is Invaded: A Deep Dive

Tensions Rise as the Philippines and the US Deepen Military Ties Amidst Concerns Over Taiwan's Security

In a significant development, Armed Forces of the Philippines Chief of Staff General Romeo Brawner Jr. stated on Tuesday that his country would "inevitably" be involved if Taiwan is invaded, sparking discussions about regional security dynamics.

This announcement comes as the United States approved a potential sale of US$5.58 billion worth of F-16 jets to the Philippines, a move that further strengthens the military alliance between the two nations. The US Department of State highlighted that the sale, including 20 F-16 jets and associated equipment, is aimed at enhancing the security of a crucial partner in Southeast Asia.

The US Department of State believes the sale would significantly "improve the security of a strategic partner that continues to be an important force for political stability, peace and economic progress in Southeast Asia." It would also bolster the Philippine Air Force's capabilities, specifically its maritime domain awareness and the suppression of potential enemy air defenses.

This development follows increasing tensions between the Philippines and China in the South China Sea, particularly over Beijing's expansive claims in the region. A US department spokesperson clarified that the deal hinges on the official "letter of offer and acceptance" from the Philippines.

While Philippine Department of National Defense spokesman Arsenio Andolong mentioned that he has "not received any official notice of such a decision," China has already voiced its concerns, cautioning Manila against the purchase. Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesman Guo Jiakun (郭嘉昆) warned that the defense cooperation should not "target any third party or harm the interests of a third party. Nor should it threaten regional peace and security or exacerbate regional tensions".

Defense cooperation between Manila and Washington has deepened since Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. took office in 2022, particularly as the Philippines has begun to challenge Beijing's claims in the South China Sea. Further escalating the situation, the Philippines's plan to acquire the US mid-range Typhon missile system in December last year drew criticism from Beijing.

General Brawner's comments, made as Chinese ships and warplanes conducted simulated blockade exercises around Taiwan, included instructions to prepare for potential involvement in case of an invasion of Taiwan. He highlighted that joint military exercises this month would focus on northern Luzon island, which is the nearest part of the Philippines to Taiwan.

Guo stated that the "Taiwan issue is a matter for the Chinese people" and advised the Philippines against actions that would provoke, and that "those who play with fire will only get burned."